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Kauno miesto gyventojų (15 metų ir vyresnių) išgyvenimo prognozavimo galimybės = : Prognosis of Kaunas population (15 years and old) life expectancy
Date Issued |
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2002 |
Darbo tikslas – prognozuoti Kauno gyventojų išgyvenimą. 1988-1989 metais sukurta automatizuota informacinė duomenų apdorojimo sistema. Duomenų bazėje sukaupta informacija apie 25460 Kauno miesto gyventojų sveikatos būklę bei visų mirusių...
The aim of study – prognosis of Kaunas population life expectancy. In 1988-1989 have been carried out automated informational data processing system. In the data basis was collected information about 25460 population (15 years and older) health status and death cases during 1988 to 1998. The correction of the data was examined using a set and cross tests. The diseases were coded using the International classification of diseases 9th revision. From the 25460 population participating in the screening 1906 (7.5 percent) died (9.2 percent of males and 5.9 percent of females). Applying the modified regression models (1-2, 2-1, 2-2) with respect to the presence of informative indicators the number of deaths can be prognosticated with more than 91,0 percent accuracy.